This looks Interesting
I just ran across info about this new book over at Prometheus;
Why Environmental Scientists Can’t Predict the Future
BY: Orrin H. Pilkey and Linda Pilkey-Jarvis
Columbia University Press, New York, 2007.
Near the bottom of the excerpt the authors say, “Without resorting to mathematics, we make our point that applied quantitative mathematical models of earth processes cannot produce accurate answers.”
One reviewer blurb says;
“Orrin H. Pilkey and Linda Pilkey-Jarvis argue that many models are worse than useless, providing a false sense of security and an unwarranted confidence in our scientific expertise. Regardless of how one responds to their views, they can’t be ignored. A must-read for anyone seriously interested in the role of models in contemporary science and policy.”
â€”Naomi Oreskes, professor, Department of History, University of California, San Diego
All this is somewhat depressing.